Climate Change — Is it Us?

I feel that the asser­tion that we as humans have “bro­ken” the pla­net and the­re­fore must do something to fix it is erro­neous, no mat­ter what the popu­lar cul­ture and the popu­lar media want us to believe. Much bet­ter to call it “Cli­mate Change”  than “Glo­bal War­ming” That way it doesn’t raise so much touchi­ness. I do not care whether it is a con­ser­va­tive or libe­ral view.  It is bet­ter to spend our effort lear­ning to adapt because it’s more likely that we’ll make it worse trying to fix it.  If the “War­ming” bunch want to quit put­ting smoke in the air, I’m all for that. But I for one say we NEED the C02 to stave off the next ice age. The other false asser­tion in my mind is that somehow this situa­tion will make the pla­net unli­vea­ble and that we are all going to die if we don’t find a way to fix it. Yes, some of us will die if we do not adapt quickly enough or suf­fi­ciently It’s mostly just a mat­ter of moving to less hos­tile part of the pla­net in the next 100 years.

Earth is pretty impor­tant to ever­yone, yet we con­sume and waste everything from the sea life to the oil reser­ves to get indi­vi­dual gain. We have habi­tats being des­tro­yed all over the world. I unders­tand that and agree we should all do everything we can to minimize/stop it from hap­pe­ning. Look up the “plas­tic sar­gasso” on Goo­gle for the big­gest exam­ple. This is piti­ful, come on guys, can’t we just find a use for all that plas­tic? Mine it and recycle it or something…

Howe­ver, this is a dif­fe­rent issue alto­gether. That we have been alte­ring our atmosphere since the early indus­trial age (some say the stone age) and that the rise in C02 will catas­trophi­cally thrust us into a runa­way glo­bal warming…well, I argue that bet­ween the levels C02 pro­du­ced by the oceans, deca­ying vege­ta­tion on land, and vol­ca­noes erup­ting over the last 50k years, humans can­not have been much of a con­tri­bu­tor, let alone the cause. The cli­ma­tic record bears this out. Every rise in C02 in the past has been the result of, rather than the cause of, the war­ming of the pla­net. It almost always slips into an ice age after that point.

The only con­nec­tion this sub­ject has to this site is that it may actually be a cons­pi­racy by whoe­ver has an inte­rest in lots of peo­ple buying their green pro­ducts, while the govt./or a sha­dow govt. makes laws to res­trict our free­doms and pri­va­cies, modify our pre­fe­ren­ces away from fos­sil fuels, and force us to use less energy. They are wor­king in a collu­sion of some sort. I become more con­vin­ced that its mostly win­dow dres­sing to hide an agenda as the recent Climate-Gate Con­tro­versy and the simi­lar one with NASA show. We even have Holly­wood threa­te­ning to take Al Gore’s  Oscar back.

Here is an article about the growth rate of Aspens are up by 50% because of the inc­rease in CO2 in the atmosphere.

http://www.physorg.com/news179118204.html

I want to use data to back up my opi­nions, howe­ver few of the char­ted graphs offer either a cali­bra­ted scale of time vs Co2 or go back far enough to corre­late to the last time the Earth was in a simi­lar state, such as the last ice age. Take the Recons­truc­ted Tem­pe­ra­ture graph below. Only goes to 0BC. Is this what we are using to prove glo­bal war­ming? What does “recons­truc­ted tem­pe­ra­ture mean?

2000_Year_Temperature_Comparison

OK, this one is a bit bet­ter. It shows that as early as 10,000 years ago, (end of the last Ice Age) there was more C02 in the air than now. But since this was desig­ned to show how tem­pe­ra­ture rise begins before CO2 inc­rea­ses, it actually goes a bit toward debun­king the oppo­site. What came first? the tem­pe­ra­ture rise, or the CO2? Modern War­ming advo­ca­tes claim that the inc­rease in CO2 con­tri­bu­ted by our human lifestyle such as manu­fac­tu­ring, mining, and dri­ving will cause a corres­pon­ding tem­pe­ra­ture rise. Well, if you look at the table above to see that the tem­pe­ra­ture has gone up, you would assume that’s the proof of it.

Not so! It has actually been coo­ler now that the suns­pots have star­ted again.

if tem­pe­ra­ture rise cau­ses an inc­rease in CO2 as the table below points out, then we must look somewhere else for the tem­pe­ra­ture rise. Oh, what tem­pe­ra­ture rise? It turns out that the data used to subs­tan­tiate the tem­pe­ra­ture rise “may have been” been scrapped-  http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125883405294859215.html? –so that the results may be homo­ge­ni­zed for public consumption.

700px-Deglaciation

Now here is one that also shows CO2 corre­la­ted to ice ages. Howe­ver, it shows a dif­fe­rent con­cen­tra­tion of CO2 than the pre­vious one which shows about 210 ppmv, while this one asserts that we have nearly 380 ppmv due to the indus­trial revo­lu­tion. Why is this so dif­fe­rent? Data from US Dept of Com­merce Glo­bal Moni­to­ring site shows about 385 ppmv. If the asser­tion that Co2 leads tem­pe­ra­ture is correct, this is a con­cern. Howe­ver, the data shows that tem­pe­ra­ture rise has always led Co2 con­cen­tra­tion (not the other way around).  So the real ques­tion is, does this spike in CO2 result in a net effect on glo­bal tem­pe­ra­ture, and if so, can the Earth absorb this Co2 slow enough to stave off the next ice age, yet fast enough to stop a runa­way war­ming. That is the ques­tion I can­not get ans­we­red without the ans­wer being soa­ked in the popu­lar view that we are all going to be coo­ked and floo­ded by the ine­vi­ta­ble ocean rise.

Carbon_Dioxide_400kyr_Rev

We are also coming out of a solar mini­mum which (if you corre­late it to the tem­pe­ra­tu­res at the time) may show why things have been war­ming up. Notice how the Maun­der minu­mum lasts until 1750 or so and the corres­pon­ding maxi­mum the­reaf­ter corres­ponds to the Revo­lu­tio­nary war period in which we all know there was a very cold period. Now look at the dips vs the rises in the data and com­pare them with the current mini­mum. It should have got­ten war­mer, right?

700px-Sunspot_Numbers

Methane is CH4 (1carbon & 4hydrogen) while Car­bon Dio­xide is CO2 (1carbon & 2oxygen). At another level:
Methane is a by pro­duct of ani­mal life through anae­ro­bic pro­ces­ses (fla­tu­lence and fer­men­ta­tion) and by deca­ying swamps. There are huge amount in the earth’s crust. In sun­light, in the pre­sence of oxy­gen, it decays over deca­des into C02 and water. Methane traps about 20 times the amount of heat as C02. The oceans give off methane too.

Car­bon Dio­xide is used by plants for pho­tosynthe­sis which car­bon (the plant) and oxy­gen. In the pre­sence of arti­fi­cially high C02, plants grow fas­ter and lar­ger and pro­duce Oxy­gen at a fas­ter rate. When they die, the decay pro­du­ces methane (which gra­dually turns to C02) and C02. See this article.

500,000,000 (500 million) years ago car­bon dio­xide was 20 times more more than today, and 4–5 times what it is today during the Juras­sic period and then slowly dec­li­ning with a lot of reduc­tion 49 million years ago. That time coin­ci­des with the point in time that the Earth was totally fro­zen over as a total ice pla­net. Since then, the Earth has see­sa­wed bet­ween warm and cold periods. We are now in a warm period, hea­ding toward a cold one as demons­tra­ted by the high con­cen­tra­tion of C02 (again, high con­cen­tra­tions of C02 have typi­cally been the result of the warm periods, not led to them). Now man­kind seems to be adding to the C02 and slightly dela­ying the ine­vi­ta­ble and giving us some time, but even­tually we will slip into another ice age.

Drought is the result of the weather pat­terns chan­ging. Plants and trees need water, nitro­gen, and C02 to thrive. 3rd world coun­tries using slash and burn tech­ni­ques on rain­fo­rests ren­der the soil infer­tile (I agree this is bad). If that hap­pens to be in an area where drought occurs (or cau­ses it), thats even worse. Meanwhile, other parts of the world are get­ting MORE rain, some too much. Take the Mis­sis­sipi valley. Too much rain and all the runoff is crea­ting a dead zone in the gulf of Mexico. In Southern Cali­for­nia, we have drought without the soil going infer­tile and the scrub is gro­wing at such an inc­re­di­ble rate thanks to the inc­rease in CO2 that we are having fires every 3–5 years when it used to be only every 20 years. Again, I do not disa­gree with the con­cept of Cli­mate Change. What I disa­gree on is the notion that a) humans are the sole rea­son for it, and b)humans could con­cei­vably fix the ove­rall pro­blem, and c) that we are hea­ded for a net glo­bal warming.

Hey, either way is fine with me. We can either grow oran­ges in Alaska (war­ming), or rain­fo­rests in the south­west (ice age) It will just require some of us to move around the earth to com­pen­sate for what the earth does anyway.

Posted on December 4, 2009 on 3:40 pm | In Uncategorized | No Comments
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